End to US-Zio Law of the Jungle

American defense planning of 21st century is based upon “America is the nation at war” doctrine intended to run outdated unipolar hegemony by hook and crook.

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China and Russia Sign Military Cooperation Roadmap

geopolitica.ru

The U.S. led “Law of the Jungle” has created the series of endless wars and regional conflicts. More than 60 independent and sovereign states were destroyed directly and indirectly by Washington interference to usher the uni-centric World Order with Western allies in this 21st century. American defense planning of 21st century is based upon “America is the nation at war” doctrine intended to run outdated unipolar hegemony by hook and crook.

Therefore America has not only executed “law of the jungle” to run world affairs unilaterally  but now to save Washington power-centric hegemony, it is using third degree methods to keep control over world nations. But this hawkish rhetoric has fueled chaos all-around the world from Africa to Asia.

 America has involved in attempts to bring regime change in different countries around the globe to achieve its geopolitical objectives through color revolutions. While in many countries it has launched direct military option to install puppet regimes.

The situation in Iraq, Libya, Syria and Afghanistan is the witnessed of it that how America assaulted unilaterally on these sovereign states to alter regional map.  Now it has trying to extend ground based strategic defense missile system from Europe to Asia with the construction of American defense system complex also known as European Interceptor Site (EIS) in Poland for Europe and the installation of THAAD on South Korean soil for Asia.

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This is Zionism

Bluntly speaking, the U.S. is attempting to breakdown of world peace by posing nuclear war threat with global missile program which is a direct threat to Eurasian superpowers Russia and China.  Although the US has projected this global missile system hosted by Poland and Korea for defense purposes but the fact is that this is a deliberately attempt to undermine or weaken Russia and China’s strategic nuclear deterrent.

Both countries agree that the deployment of such ground based American defense systems in Europe and Asia is simply sharp-cut venture to tear down the geostrategic balance of the power that guaranteed the safety of humanity from the major conflict, over past 71 years.

Now America on the name of defense is fueling aggression with the installation of ground based missile systems having ability to penetrate distance of up to 1000 Km and then further depends on the advancement of technology. This is a clear cut massage that America is going to violate the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty negotiated by President Reagan and Soviet General Secretary Gorbachov in 1987.

First time publicly Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian president Vladimir Putin discussed briefly to secure the peace of world by adopting new global security model for multipolar world during the Chinese President’s recent state visit of Russia.  Both have not only opposed THAAD installation but declared it against the common security of the Asia-pacific.

Hence why both are filling the international leadership vacuum  with the construction of a multipolar world security framework and new mechanisms for international relations featuring win-win cooperation through  defeating the “law of the jungle” which was imposed by the US/NATO on the world.

Chinese President Xi Jinping, during his address to 70the session of UN General Assembly, already issued a loud warning in saying that the “law of the jungle” should not be the way for countries to conduct relations – warmongering will backfire.  Now both countries have rejected the shrill American call for global action to a global threat because both have already assembled world nations with their international and regional multipolar institutions.

Interlinking EEU and OBOR together with multipolar institutions 

Put simply, Russia and China have created a new window of opportunities for the world by zipping their respective dreams of “Grand Eurasia” and “Modernization of the Ancient Silk Road” together with multipolar international institutions. Therefore, they are shaping the future of the new world through extending and strengthening multipolar world institutions i.e. BRICS, SCO and AIIB as alternates to unipolar institutions such as the IMF, World Bank, NATO and ADB.

In fact the US’ global Hybrid War strategy against China’s Silk Road known as One Belt One Road (OBOR) and Russia’s Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) brought China and Russia close together in establishing an alternative security system resisting the US/NATO-led Cold War mentality. Both Moscow and Beijing have promised to end-up the US dominance over seas and skies.

First time in history, Chinese naval ships participated in Russian hosted naval wargames from Baltic Sea to Mediterranean Sea while both have vowed to protect each other sovereignty from Black Sea to South China Sea. Hence why both are not only ready for an imminent war but they are also collaborating on different ways to minimize possible damage to the security of multipolar world.

Both Eurasian powers have joined hands to protect world as they are developing and proposing a substantive mechanism in Eurasia with multilateral institutions, which will include security issues, development of relations between the states, organization of the economy, social sphere, management system and search for new drivers of the growth.

For this purpose they are making institutional arrangements to interlink EEU and OBOR together intended to cover common economic space.  Russia, Kazakhstan and China have already framed trilateral mechanism to boost the process of interlinking Eurasian Economic Union with Belt Road Initiatives. Although it needs a lot of work and it will take a time but the process has begun to fill the room with mutual collaboration.  If it happens it would be a great geopolitical significance as the part of wide economic integration contour.

Despite this Russia and China are also shaping the new future of world by repelling the US led trade wars with their regional and global multilateral intuitions. As I wrote in one of my article about Eurasian Multilateral institutions that Russia and China have founded the one Eurasia’s powerful geo-strategic alliance, known as Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) which considers the security guard of Eurasia while the West also views SCO as alternative to the NATO. Now with the submission of Pakistan and India, SCO has become more powerful than NATO by keeping four nuclear powers; Russia, China, India and Pakistan under one umbrella.

To minimize the monopoly of Western international institutions World Bank and IMF, Russia and China have formulated the powerful economic institution of the BRICS. The world fastest growing economies, Brazil, Russia, China, India and South Africa are the part of it. Like SCO, the BRICS is also on the expansion mode as China has proposed BRICS plus idea to align other world fastest growing economies with BRICS. Not sure but my calculation lead me that BRICS is the interested to collaborate individually and collectively with the NEXT 11 also known as N-11 emerging economies.

 Russia and China have already great strategic and economic influence on these rising economies of 21st century which includes Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Turkey, South Korea, and Vietnam. If Russia and China succeeds to work with these nations, then it will give positive geographical diversification covering Europe, Latin America, Africa, South-East Asia, and the Middle East. For this purpose, BRICS New Development Bank can invest on infrastructure projects in these countries to replace IMF and World Bank.  Beside this for the development in Asia, China has also established the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) as alternate to Japan-led Asian Development Bank (ADB).

               Trade wars and New Multipolar Investment Regime System

Thirsty blood sanctions war against multipolar world countries; Russia, Iran, North Korea hinted that America is using existing international investment regime system dominated by WTO, IMF and WB as tool of trade war to destroy the economy geopolitical opponents.  Beside these countries, the US trade war against China has also become visible and there is an also a threat sooner or later sanctions would also be extended to the enormous economic power of China.

Being the architectures of multipolar world, China and Russia were aware of such bloody economic war, therefore they had already formulated an alternative mechanism of international trade and economic law through bypassing Washington controlled international economic institutions. They had already challenged the monopoly of dollar as international currency by establishing the international trade in national and local currencies with their alternative economic institutes. BRICS has given preference to national currencies while Russia and China are also working on de-dollarization by introducing petrogold instead of petrodollar.

Russia being the one of biggest oil and gas exporter has introduced alternative energy trade system to minimize petrodollar hegemony over the organization of petroleum exporting (OPEC) countries. In 1975 all of the OPEC nations had agreed to sell their oil in the US dollars in exchange for American weapons and military protection. Unfortunately this “oil for dollars” system created the artificial American dominance around the globe due to demand for the US dollars.

But with the passage of time, oil exporter countries realized that oil for dollars was a biggest global blunder because they were accepting worthless paper currency for their worthy oil. Russia raised a voice against this petrodollar system by introducing an ancient wisdom; trade in gold. Russia’s proposed Oil for Gold attracted many oil exporters. Today, Russia, Iran, Syria and Venezuela appeared as pressure group on OPEC. They have chosen their national currencies and gold for energy supply. Additionally, like other nations China and India as the biggest energy importers also given a preference to pay in their own currencies.

In fact Dollarization of world appeared immediately after the WW2 with aim to regulate war-torn international economic system by establishing the International Bank of Reconstruction and Development (IBRD, later known as the World Bank), The International Monetary Fund and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT, later known as the World Trade Organization, or WTO). In all this institutional process, the US Dollar played a central role and these economic institutions introduced new fixed exchange rate regime with Dollar.

Hence why, all global currencies were pigged to the US Dollar.  But today, the de-dollarization trend has become very popular. This trend was accelerated by the common efforts of Moscow and Beijing as they formulated anti-dollar alliance. Russian President Putin was personally behind the establishment of anti-dollar alliance as in 2014, he sent the governor of the Russian Central Bank, Elvira Nabiullina to Beijing for the establishment of a system of multilateral swaps.

Ruble-Yuan swap deal turned BRICS into anti-dollar alliance. Therefore now currency swaps between the BRICS central banks are facilitating trade financing while completely bypassing the dollar. This new alternative system will also act as a de facto replacement of the IMF, because it will allow the members of the alliance to direct resources to finance the weaker countries. In other words, Russia and China by using the potential of BRICS have got success to replace existing international investment regime system with new multipolar investment regime system.

Welcome to the post-Westphalian world

It is plain silly to pretend that we don’t know when we all know that we all know.

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The era of Western domination is coming to an end.” Western elites “should lift their sights from their domestic civil wars and focus on the larger global challenges. Instead, they are, in various ways, accelerating their irrelevance and disintegration.”

Western elites cannot but worry when central banks in China, Russia, India and Turkey actively increase their physical gold stash; when Moscow and Beijing discuss launching a gold-backed currency system to replace the US dollar; when the IMF warns that the debt burden of the global economy has reached $237 trillion; when the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) warns that, on top of that there is also an ungraspable $750 trillion in additional debt outstanding in derivatives.

Mahbubani states the obvious: “The era of Western domination is coming to an end.” Western elites, he adds, “should lift their sights from their domestic civil wars and focus on the larger global challenges. Instead, they are, in various ways, accelerating their irrelevance and disintegration.”

Meanwhile, Eurasian integration, as depicted in Diesen’s book, is slowly but surely redefining the future.

June 6, 2018

Key economic forums in cities across Eurasia point the way to new power structures rising to challenge Western dominance

Ahead of the crucial Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Qingdao this coming weekend, three other recent events have offered clues on how the new world order is coming about.

The Astana Economic Forum in Kazakhstan centered on how mega-partnerships are changing world trade. Participants included the president of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) Jin Liqun; Andrew Belyaninov from the Eurasian Development Bank; former Italian Prime Minister and president of the EU Commission Romano Prodi; deputy director-general of the WTO Alan Wolff; and Glenn Diesen from the University of Western Sydney.

Diesen, a Norwegian who studied in Holland and teaches in Australia, is the author of a must-read book, Russia’s Geoeconomic Strategy for a Greater Eurasia, in which he analyzes in excruciating detail how Moscow is planning “to manage the continent from the heartland by enhancing collective autonomy and influence, and thus evict US hegemony directed from the periphery.”

In parallel, as Diesen argues, Moscow aims “to ensure the sustainability of an integrated Eurasia by establishing a balance of power or ‘balance of dependence’ to prevent the continent from being dominated by one power, with China being the most plausible candidate.”

In a nutshell; this New Great Game installment revolves around “Russia’s strategy to enhance its bargaining power with the West by pivoting to the East.”

Concerning Astana, Diesen told me that the AIIB’s Liqun “took the hardest stance in defense of diversifying financial instruments, while Belyaninov was very critical of anti-Russian sanctions.”

Diesen argues that: “The emergence of economic mega-blocks actually improves economic relations by creating more symmetry. For example, China’s CIPS (Cross-Border Interbank Payment System) undermined the ability of SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication) to be used for economic coercion, while CIPS and SWIFT still cooperate. Similarly, the EAEU [Eurasia Economic Union] gets its strength from the ability to integrate with other regions as opposed to isolating itself.”

And here’s the clincher: “China’s cooperation with the EAEU mitigates Russian concerns about asymmetries, and enables greater EAEU-BRI [Belt and Road Initiative] integration under the stewardship of the SCO. Also, unlike the EU, the EAEU provides great benefit to non-members (non-zero sum) by creating an effective transportation corridor with harmonized tariffs, standards, etc.”

Diesen remarked how Liqun, a key character in the whole game, “is very positive about the Eurasian Economic Union and insistent on the positive-sum game of integration of regions.” Liqun is “direct, honest and forceful” and does not refrain from criticizing the Trump administration, arguing “there is not a trade war between the US and China, it is a US trade war against the world.”

Add to the debate the crucial Astana headline, ignored by Western corporate media: Iran signed a provisional free-trade-zone agreement with the EAEU, lowering or abolishing customs duties, and opening the way for a final deal in 2021. For Iran, that will be a golden ticket to do business way beyond Southwest Asia, integrating it further with Russia and also Kazakhstan, which happens to be a key member of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

All about Eurasian integration

The St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) is the annual Russian equivalent of Davos. Predictably, coverage on Western media was appalling – at best rehashing bits and pieces of the joint press conference held by presidents Vladimir Putin and Emmanuel Macron.

There was no mention, as Asia Times previously reported, of how Moscow was instrumental in ironing out differences between North and South Korea at the Far East summit in Vladivostok last September, impressing the need for a win-win regional business plan; the integration of the Trans-Siberian with a future Trans-Korean railway, a key plank of Eurasia integration.

When it comes to tracking Eurasia integration, SPIEF is invaluable. The St Petersburg get-together has also been a traditional forum for key SCO discussions. One panel illustrated how the Shanghai forum is fast advancing on the trade and economic front; new members India and Pakistan are now very much active in the SCO Business Council. The discussion of the business, industrial and technological agenda for observer states was also important; that’s where Iran, a future full SCO member, fits in.

Eurasia integration also featured on another panel about new logistical routes opened by international transport corridors – very much the stuff BRI and the EAEU are made of.

And the BRICS revival was also part of the picture, as attested by this panel on the BRICS in Africa “leveraging the Fourth Industrial Revolution” for economic development, featuring the president of the BRICS’s New Development Bank (NDB), Kundapur Kamath, and Jiakang Sun, the executive vice-president of Chinese giant COSCO Shipping Corp.

Yet the clincher in terms of possible game-changing relations between Russia and Europe came from Finance Minister and first deputy Prime Minister Anton Siluanov: “As we see, restrictions imposed by the American partners are of an extraterritorial nature. The possibility of switching from the US dollar to the euro in settlements depends on Europe’s stance toward Washington’s position.”

So once again the EU was on the spot – on both crucial fronts, Iran and Russia. Siluanov left the door wide open: “If our European partners declare their position unequivocally, we could definitely see a way to use the European common currency for financial settlements, such as payments for goods and services, which today are often subject to restrictions.”

Siluanov did not fail to mention that Russia, as much as China and Iran, is already bypassing the US dollar. That accounts for three crucial nodes of Eurasian integration, and that’s the way to go for BRI, EAEU, SCO and BRICS.

The Indo-Pacific enigma

Meanwhile, the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore has been the top venue for defense diplomacy debate in the Asia-Pacific since 2001.

With the “Indo-Pacific” concept is hyped to the extreme, it was up to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the keynote speaker, to strike a deft balancing act.

Even as Modi said the Indo-Pacific should not develop as an exclusive club, he took pains to stress that “Asia and the world will have a better future when India and China work together in trust and confidence. No other relationship of India has as many layers as our relationship with China.”

China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi dismissed the “Indo-Pacific” push as an “attention-grabbing idea” that will “dissipate like ocean foam,” as he hopes that the Quad – US, India, Japan, Australia – does not focus on targeting China, like the previous Obama administration “pivot to Asia.”

The problem is the Indo-Pacific focus, in practice, amounts to a military counterpunch to BRI, with no wide-ranging economic cooperation dimension apart from sketchy plans for a “new global infrastructure.” Compare it, for instance, with China financing over 130 projects within the Lancang-Mekong Cooperation framework, integrating Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam into the Chinese economy.

BRI is a multi-trillion-dollar, multinational, decades-long, inclusive project. As Wang Yiwei, a senior research fellow at the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies of the Renmin University of China, said “All SCO members are participating in BRI, and this organization [SCO] is the initiative’s security guarantee.”

Yet when it comes to the Indo-Pacific sphere, the US, Japan and Australia are not SCO members. And India still refuses to acknowledge the SCO is interlinked with BRI.

Moreover, everything about BRI cannot but clash front-on with the depth and reach of the US across Asia. So the security stress is inevitable. The 10-nation ASEAN, caught in the middle, is adopting at best a “wait and see” strategy. Indonesia at least is venturing a step ahead, promoting a non-confrontational “Indo-Pacific cooperation concept.”

The bottom line is that China’s relentless drive to multiply Chinese-organized solutions in international relations is unstoppable. As in Wang Yi’s discreet but forceful diplomacy leading to Kim Jong-un’s first visit to China; President Xi solidifying his role as the go-to leader of globalization 2.0; and the Chinese leadership as a whole arguing that the future of Asia-Pacific security cannot be hostage to a Cold War 2.0 mentality.

US Defense Secretary James Mattis’ warning to China in Singapore of “much larger consequences” if its sovereignty expansion across virtually the whole South China Sea is not contained may be an idle threat. Beijing has no intention to restrict freedom of navigation in the South China Sea; for a mercantile giant, that would be counter-productive. The whole game is about high-stakes geopolitical control. Even the new head of the renamed US Indo-Pacific Command, Admiral Philip Davidson, had to admit to the US Senate that short of war between China and the US, Beijing will prevail in the South China Sea.

Welcome to the post-Westphalian world

In his latest, avowedly “provocative” slim volume, Has the West Lost It? former Singaporean ambassador to the UN and current Professor in the Practice of Public Policy at the National University, Kishore Mahbubani frames the key question: “Viewed against the backdrop of the past 1,800 years, the recent period of Western relative over-performance against other civilizations is a major historical aberration. All such aberrations come to a natural end, and that is happening now.”

It is enlightening to remember that at the Shangri-la Dialogue two years ago, Professor Xiang Lanxin, director of the Centre of One Belt and One Road Studies at the China National Institute for SCO International Exchange and Judicial Cooperation, described BRI as an avenue to a ‘post-Westphalian world.’

That’s where we are now. Western elites cannot but worry when central banks in China, Russia, India and Turkey actively increase their physical gold stash; when Moscow and Beijing discuss launching a gold-backed currency system to replace the US dollar; when the IMF warns that the debt burden of the global economy has reached $237 trillion; when the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) warns that, on top of that there is also an ungraspable $750 trillion in additional debt outstanding in derivatives.

Mahbubani states the obvious: “The era of Western domination is coming to an end.” Western elites, he adds, “should lift their sights from their domestic civil wars and focus on the larger global challenges. Instead, they are, in various ways, accelerating their irrelevance and disintegration.”

Meanwhile, Eurasian integration, as depicted in Diesen’s book, is slowly but surely redefining the future.